Statistically-backed trading

Stop guessing.
Trade with a
proven edge.

TimedTrades scans stocks against thousands of historical events — earnings, economic data, calendar patterns — and surfaces the setups with the highest statistical win rates.

Free to explore.

2241 backtested setups
100,000+ backtests nightly
10+ years of data
▲ Long AMD — Missed Earnings
Event open → +30d close
Edge Score
98/100
96.8%
Win Rate
+20.93%
Avg Return
31
Trades
This setup has repeated 31 times over 10+ years. 96.8% of the time it closed profitably. That is not luck — that is a statistical edge.
AAPL MSFT NVDA GOOGL AMZN META TSLA AMD NFLX JPM BAC GS SBUX NKE WMT COST MCD F GM SPY QQQ ORCL CRM PLTR AAPL MSFT NVDA GOOGL AMZN META TSLA AMD NFLX JPM BAC GS SBUX NKE WMT COST MCD F GM SPY QQQ ORCL CRM PLTR
2241
Backtested setups
500+
Stocks & ETFs
10Y+
Historical data
100K+
Backtests per run
Daily
Data refresh
The process

How TimedTrades finds your edge

1
We scan thousands of events

Earnings beats, FOMC decisions, options expiry, monthly seasonality, economic reports — every type of catalyst that moves stocks.

2
We backtest every entry/exit window

For each event, we test 100+ entry and exit combinations going back 10+ years. Only windows with 10+ historical trades pass the filter.

3
You get ranked, actionable setups

The Trade Finder shows you the best setups sorted by edge score — win rate, avg return, Sharpe, and sample size combined into one number.

Best of the best

Highest-edge setups right now

Ranked by edge score — a composite of win rate, return, Sharpe ratio, and sample size.

Ticker Dir Event Entry Win% Avg Ret N
AMD Missed Earnings Event open 96.8% +20.93% 31 Analyze
JPM Dividends Event open 95.3% +6.29% 169 Analyze
BAC Missed Earnings Event open 100.0% +2.94% 23 Analyze
WMT Dividends Event open 93.7% +3.86% 206 Analyze
MCD Missed Earnings Event open 97.1% +2.62% 34 Analyze
The mission

Data beats discretion. Every time.

Most retail traders rely on gut feel, Reddit threads, or TV pundits. Professional quant funds run thousands of backtests to find repeatable patterns. TimedTrades gives you that same systematic approach — for free.

Every setup in our explorer has been validated across 10+ years of real price data, with a minimum of 10 historical occurrences. If the edge isn't there, we don't show it.

Start exploring free →
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Win Rate

What % of historical trades were profitable? We show you the real number, not marketing fluff.

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Avg Return

The average gain (or loss) across all historical occurrences. Entry at open, exit at close.

⚖️
Edge Score

A composite of win rate, profit factor, Sharpe ratio, and sample size — one number that tells the full story.

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Sample Size

More occurrences = more confidence. We require 10+ trades before showing a setup as valid.

Proven edges. Real data.

Earnings, dividends, streaks — edges that repeat.

Every number below is from real price data, backtested across thousands of entry/exit combinations. These patterns have repeated for years.

SBUX
Beat Earnings · Buy open, hold 4 days
▲ Long 98% +4.3% avg · 64 trades
98% win rate. 64 earnings beats. 16 years. When Starbucks beat expectations, buying the open and holding 4 days paid off almost every single time. That's not a streak — that's a structural edge.
AAPL
All Earnings · Buy open, hold 8 days
▲ Long 94% +5.5% avg · 99 trades
Beat or miss — AAPL's post-earnings drift is one of the most consistent setups in the market. 94% win rate across 99 earnings events. The market bids Apple up after every report, regardless of the result.
F
Dividends · Enter 8 days before ex-date
▲ Long 97% +5.1% avg · 183 trades
The pre-dividend run-up in Ford is statistically overwhelming. 183 occurrences, 97% win rate. The market consistently bids the stock up before ex-dividend date — and has for decades.
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Find your own edge

These are 5 examples from 2241 setups scanned daily. Filter by event type, direction, win rate, and time to entry.

Past statistical patterns do not guarantee future results. All data is historical. Always apply your own risk management.

Ready to trade with an edge?

No credit card. No signup required to explore. Just data.